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Policy: Regulation

Tue 11 Sep 2007

A good topic came up on Chris Linfoot's website when he made a comment that regulation, e.g. industry regulation, may have kept Microsoft from invalidating thousands of Windows licenses via the WGA authentication tool. I took issue with that idea, being a person who believes in free market economics, and wrote a lengthy reply that didn't get much reaction. I thought I'd post it here for further comment because I do think this is an important topic.


But, if I may, I did want to take issue with the notion that regulation is the answer. It goes without saying that regulation brings important safe guards to the public, and in many cases it is imperative that regulation be in place and in force. Good examples are measures. Auditors here in the US, county by county, certify and seal petrol pumps so that we as consumers know we are getting a gallon when we buy a gallon. This is a pretty indisputable and obvious piece of regulation.

Then there is social and economic regulation. Before I dive into this, yes, I'd love to see MS change - but let's look at what makes for the most effective means. If I have government regulation on free-market exercises, there is a cost associated with it either in enforcement and monitoring (a regulatory model) or in litigation (a jurisprudence model - ala the antitrust suits brought against MS by the government). It's easy to declare that the regulated body should pay that cost, but it is always passed on to the consumer.

Now, not knowing MS's exact internal financial details, I'm relatively sure we are paying the price today for, in part, the anti-trust legislation. We would likewise be paying the cost today for regulation that may have preempted the need for litigation in the first place. Where ever there is a business, and a business has expenses, a business has but one way to cover said expenses - through incoming revenues. So, I think it's fair to say regardless of model, we pay in the end - even if we say the Government should pay the cost - then it comes down on the tax payer and I'd rather the business pass on the cost rather than the government appropriate funding to cover it being that they are much less efficient that entrepreneurs.

So, my two p would be that regulation in any form is not the answer. The answer is free market consequences - namely loss of market share. This is starting to happen for MS with Vista. People are finally fed up with it, so the adoption rate has failed to deliver and MS is feeling it. While I love to gripe and complain about how MS has screwed us over time, they have screwed themselves royally with Vista. This is great because with a decline in market share comes a decline in perceived value and with that comes a further slide in demand. Eventually, MS only choice to recoup will be to cut prices or start delivering like the multi-trillion dollar firm they are. In that case, we win. Capitalism at its best.

Right now in my lovely state of Ohio, the socialist governor is making noise about returning our public utilities to regulated rates. Currently they are unregulated and by the end of 2008 or 9 the blanket coal delivery contracts will expire, driving up the cost to produce power. The argument is that the government should restore utility regulation practices because no competition has arisen to challenge the existing deregulated monopolies.

What he fails to mention or address is that even though rates are unregulated, there are many other plethora of regulations on an energy producing utility. Despite labels, it's not a free market economic model. The cost to entry is so high and the returns so meager and protracted that there is not a rush of investment capital to attempt to raise up any competition. So, would further regulation make sense in this case? On the one hand, utility rates are bound to rise and rise suddenly in the near future. On the other, if the rates are artificially suppressed, someone will have to cover the actual cost to produce the energy. Either the fuel suppliers will have to lower their prices to compete for the now capped contracts, potentially forcing utilities to consider cheaper off-shore sources, or the government will have to subsidize somewhere along the supply chain. In either case, the people who consume the power will still pay the price.

Personally, I'm inclined to let prices go up and watch the innovation ensue. Just look at the innovation all the global warming hype has produced. Just imagine the fevered pitch of inventiveness and resourcefulness that will result if the cost of power rises steeply. Either option is a market force - the question is which one results in the most positive return? Would you rather have one large company trying to figure out how to solve the problem or millions of individual consumers?

My money is always going to be on the consumer - they have more at stake. Whether they choose to invest in a solar array or to switch to Linux, they are making a choice that promotes free market growth rather than being insulated from the pressure to innovate on their own from a nanny state.

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Reader Contributions:

Stephan H. Wissel (09/12/2007 06:42 AM) website / e-mail

Nice post. I beg to disagree. Regulations define the boundaries of markets. Regulations don't necessarily translate into higher cost. Anti-trust is a good example. Without regulations in place following the law of software gravity monopolies will form. Monopolies exercise their pricing power and thus ripping off their customers.
The example with utility pricing is not that intriguing, because it is not a regulation in the sense of "setting the boundaries for the market" but is "price-fixing" something that monopolies do. And monopolies tend to harm the customer <g>.
Look at regulations like boundaries: if you drop food safety standards your burger probably will be cheaper, but you will have your regular food poisoning, thus leading to all over (both individual and for the society at large) higher cost. And yes cars with airbags are more expensive than without but the economic damage of injuries and loss of lives are probably higher.
Of course, and here I agree with your point of view, if regulations go overboard and start manipulating the market mechanism instead (like capping prices) the end of sense has been reached. Where that boundary lies is of course subject to fierce discussion based on your view of the world and how much you cherish free markets, profits, the common good, shared responsibilities etc.
My 2c
:-) stw

Jerry (13/09/2007 18:17)

Thanks Stephan. I agree with you for the most part. I think regulation and enforcement often follows when there is a public outcry. The government typically is responsive to the people.

The line is crossed when you have the government autonomously adding regulation and prosecuting entrepenuers because they turned out to be smart enough to make a lot of money. I think regulation that exists for its own sake is the kind that chills a market.

Neccessary regulations pertaining to safety and health are not in dispute, not from me anyway. But putting a regulation in place that says, "you can't bundle your software as it is anti competitive" is just missing the point. Leveraging market share is a natural, and should be free and legal, thing for a software manufacturer to do. Instead, MS is being sued for adding software to their OS that has cut off competition or effectively put them out of business. Look at Real Networks. They were pretty much paid off by MS in the form of a settlement. I don't really like that MS was able to leverage its girth to squash Real, but we all have the option to buy a Mac. Forcing MS to play nice isn't really that genuine. It ultimately removes a market force that could be driving innovation.

Java is a good example. IBM, Sun and others have come together to make Java and Eclipse something great and directly competing with what MS has been doing with .NET. That's the kind of response we should encourage. If we all got together for a class action lawsuit against MS telling them to not fundomentally alter the namespace on .NET or make the run time incompatible with standard Java, and had such a tactic suceeded, we'd be stuck with one flavor of framework today.

Power generation is another area I think regulation removes a positive market force for innovation, as I illustrated above. Why pursue alternative energy sources if conventional sources are regulated to our heart's content?

Innovation requires an incentive to be fertle, and requires need to grow. When we coddle ourselves by putting layer upon layer of protective regulation between us and industries, in non health and saftey areas, we remove what is best about a free market where ideas can grow and benefit all.




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